SurveyUSA gives party alftfiaiion of the likely voters sampled. As you suggest, the samples seem unjustifiably weighted to include more democrats and less Republicans. For example, Ohio which President Bush won the past 2 presidential elections has their latest sample weighted in favor of democrats by 13 points. Gallup has McCain within 2 points of Obama in likely voters. Then, as if, they are afraid to deviate from the "Election is over" mantra, they added a strange category which was a second analysis of likely voters which fit the others polls, and Obama unpaid campaign workers aka the MSM. Gallup until recently only reported registered voters which skews the polls in favor of the demorats . It is bizarre that the poll which has McCain within 2 points is called the "traditional" poll and they felt they had to add a second analysis.
by Waili 12:17:23 AM 2012.02.27 |