Unfortunately, politicians love to think that they, and they alone, are the ones who make of break the eonmcoy. They Don't.Clinton inherited an eonmcoy that was well on the way to recovery when he took office, but tried to make out like he had untied the Gordian Knot. The problems that caused the latest recession were the makings of a lot of bad decisions by lawmakers from both parties, but Obamaites want the world to believe that it's all Bush's fault, so when the eonmcoy recovers, as the eonmcoy always does, he can take all the credit. Because things haven't gone as well as Obama and the Dems promised when they passed the Stimulus plan almost two years ago, plus the way they rammed HC through, they lost the last election BADLY.In all likelihood, in the next 18 months the eonmcoy will get better, and to the degree that it does, it will help (8.5% unemployment) Obama, regardless of what he does or doesn't do the fix it. His numbers have bumped up recently because 1.) the campaign against him and the Dems ended in Nov after they lost; 2.) he looked more bipartisan in closing out a few deals at the end of the Lame Duck session, 3.) his response to the shooting in Tucson was viewed favorably because it was non-partisan. All of that will soon be forgotten and he and the Republicans will be judged on how things work out on 1.) the Economy, 2.) Deficit Reduction, 3.) the next battle over ObamaCare, 4.) a whole bunch of things (foreign & domestic) that haven't happened yet and none of us can predict.So, I still wouldn't bet against an Obama victory in 2012, but he will have to chart a course much closer to the center than he did in 2009 & 2010 if he wants to hold onto the WH. And if he gets re-elected by a smaller margin, he will still likely face a Republican Senate (the numbers facing the Dems are daunting) and House (albeit one with a smaller Rep majority).In other words, don't get too excited by the President's latest poll numbers.

by Jim 10:05:13 AM 2012.06.19